China Electricity Council report: power investment 11 trillion in the next 10 years

On December 21, the China Electricity Council (hereinafter referred to as "CEC") held a news briefing in Beijing that in the next 10 years, China's total power investment will reach 11.1 trillion yuan.

This investment plan was written in the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan for the Power Industry" (hereinafter referred to as the "Report"). Wei Zhaofeng, full-time vice chairman of the China Electricity Council, said that the 11.1 trillion yuan will be invested in two batches, including 5.3 trillion yuan during the 12th Five-Year Plan period and 5.8 trillion yuan during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. .

Wei Zhaofeng also introduced that 5.7 trillion yuan will be invested in power construction and 5.4 trillion yuan will be invested in power grid construction. Our reporter noted that the power investment during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period was only about 68% higher than during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period.

Power investment leap forward
Zhang Xiaojing, deputy director of the External Communications Department of China Electricity Council, said that since the planning and development departments of major power companies have participated in the research and preparation work, the "Report" reflects the voice of China's power companies for the development of the industry. Zhang Haiyang, head of the Information Department of the China Electricity Council, said that the "Report" will become an important reference for the decision-making department to formulate the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan".

According to the "Report", during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, the national power industry investment will reach 5.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 68% over the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan", of which power investment is 2.75 trillion yuan, accounting for all investment. 52%, power grid investment 2.55 trillion yuan, accounting for 48%.

During the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” period, the national power industry investment is expected to reach 5.8 trillion yuan, an increase of 9.4% over the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, including 2.95 trillion yuan in power investment, accounting for 51% of all investment, and 2.85 trillion yuan in power grid investment. 49%.

According to this scale of investment, the national installed capacity of power generation in 2015 will reach 1.437 billion kilowatts, an average annual increase of 8.5%. The total installed capacity of non-fossil energy power generation will reach 474 million kilowatts, accounting for 33% of the total installed capacity, an increase of 6.3 percentage points over 2010. In 2020, the national installed capacity of power generation will reach 1.885 billion kilowatts, an average annual increase of 5.6%. The total installed capacity of non-fossil energy power generation will reach 685 million kilowatts, accounting for 36.3% of the total installed capacity.

However, actual investment may be higher due to the benchmarks disclosed in the Report for investment in the power industry over the next decade. Ouyang Changyu, deputy secretary-general of the China Electricity Council, said that it is recommended that the country carry out preliminary work according to a higher plan and prepare for development in advance.

Electricity price or annual average rose by 3.5%

In addition, the Report states that domestic electricity prices will increase by 3.5% annually in the next decade.

According to the relevant person in charge of the China Electricity Council, in accordance with the direction of electricity price reform, the national average sales price in 2015 should be 0.71 yuan/kWh under the condition of considering the increase in coal price, making up for historical debts and the net asset return rate of power enterprises by 8%. , an increase of 0.143 yuan / kWh compared with 2010, an increase of 25.2%, an average annual growth of 4.6%; sales price in 2020 should be 0.802 yuan / kWh, an increase of 0.092 yuan / kWh compared with 2015, an increase of 13.0%, an average annual growth 2.5%.

Ouyang Changyu said that the adjustment of electricity prices must first digest the current debt losses of power companies, which requires the electricity price to rise by 0.05 yuan on the existing basis. The rest of the rise is to meet the needs of the future development of power companies. "The main reason is to make up for the debts." Ouyang Changyu said.

However, Zhang Xiaojing stressed that the idea of ​​raising the price of electricity needs to obtain the consent of the relevant state departments. The "Report" is only for reference, and it is not expected to play much.

Xue Jing, director of the statistics department of China Electricity Council, said that as of the end of October, the five major power groups of Huaneng Group, Datang Group, Guodian Group, Huadian Group and China Power Investment Group had a loss of 50%. Wei Zhaofeng told this reporter that to make up for the above losses, at least the electricity price should be adjusted to 0.71 yuan / kWh.

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