The grim situation has made domestic polysilicon enterprises restless. On March 13, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology convened several representatives of polysilicon enterprises to discuss the current market situation and policies. On March 18th, the Polysilicon Industry Technology Innovation Alliance will also hold a meeting to study countermeasures. Sichuan is the region with the most concentrated production of polysilicon in China. In the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the first batch of 20 polysilicon enterprises that passed the industry access examination was listed in Sichuan, and there are also six. However, at present, only Sichuan Yongxiang Polysilicon Company and Sichuan Ruineng maintain production, and the rest are discontinued.
Large-scale shutdown of Sichuan has about 10 polysilicon enterprises, mainly distributed in Leshan, Meishan, Chengdu, Ya'an and other places. The first batch of industry access notices included in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology include Xinguang Silicon, Dongqi Weiqi, Sichuan Ruineng, Sichuan Yongxiang, Tianwei Sichuan and Ledian Tianwei. Their production capacity is 1,260 tons, 2,200 tons and 3,500 tons respectively. 4,000 tons, 3,000 tons and 3,000 tons. A former Sichuan polysilicon executive told the reporter of China Business News (microblogging) that due to the impact of the European debt crisis, demand in the European market has fallen sharply, and the United States has implemented “double oppositionâ€, and China’s terminal market has not started. In addition, in recent years, the polysilicon industry has expanded its production capacity and disorderly competition, so the current market situation is very low. “Market orders are far lower than direct costs, let alone overhead.†The source said that almost all companies in Sichuan have stopped production. Feng Dezhi, chairman of Yongxiang, said that at present, only the Yongxiang and Rui Neng in the polysilicon enterprises in Sichuan maintain production, and Ruineng is for their own use. Liu Hanyuan, chairman of the Board of Directors of Yongxiang’s major shareholder, Tongwei Group, said: “In the second half of 2011, the European debt crisis deepened, the European government reduced its subsidies in terms of savings and policies, and financial credit institutions did not care; and manufacturing capacity, 2010 In the first half of 2011, a large amount of capacity was expanded from polysilicon to components, and supply exceeded demand. In this context, international polysilicon prices fell from more than 70 US dollars/kg in mid-2011 to around US$30 at the end of the year. Liu Hanyuan said, "The price fell and fell again, falling to less than 200,000 yuan / ton in the previous period. This is the loss of the whole industry worldwide." At present, most domestic enterprises have stopped production. The above-mentioned insiders said, "Everyone is doing system optimization, technical transformation, and reducing costs." In fact, for chemical companies, the suspension of production means a big loss, but even then, companies are willing to stop production. Liu Hanyuan also said that Yongxiang is also "biting the teeth, tightening the waistband of the pants, and suffocating the gas." The polysilicon industry is also known as the "high energy consumption" industry. The aforementioned person said that electricity tariff is one of the main costs, accounting for about 40% of the production cost of polysilicon enterprises, and the comprehensive energy consumption of one kilogram of polysilicon is between 120 degrees and 200 degrees. Liu Hanyuan also said that the price of electricity is the largest. At present, the price of electricity in Sichuan is between 0.73 yuan and 0.75 yuan per year. This large-scale electricity consumption is relatively high in the country. The world's medium-level production of one kilogram of polysilicon 100 degrees of electricity, to the assembly, the entire process of using 1 kilowatt on the battery requires 1000 to 1500 degrees. "The pressure on the cost pressure and the selling price that everyone faces, then the pressure on the higher cost is greater. The cost of clenching the teeth is controlled at a relatively optimal level. Try to maintain production as the guiding ideology of Yongxiang in the past and during this period. Liu Hanyuan said that Yongxiang is also swaying on the cost line, with a sales price of 220,000 yuan/ton and a cost line of 210,000 yuan to 220,000 yuan/ton. The most advanced line in the country can basically reach 20%. US dollars ~ 25 US dollars / kg. Although the price of polysilicon has rebounded slightly in the near future, “the extent to which the price will rise in the future depends on the length of the balance realization time, but the overall price decline, the technical content increases, the production cost continues to decrease, and the application volume continues to increase. This is inevitable for emerging industries. The curve will rebound for a while, but in the end it will continue." Liu Hanyuan said.
Industry shuffle? The house leaks coincided with the night rain. After the United States, India also initiated a "double-reverse" case for China's PV modules. Driven by the United States and India, once the EU is also following similar measures, it will bring a fatal blow to China's photovoltaic industry. The industry is worried that the domestic PV industry will never recover. The aforementioned industry insiders also said that this year's government work report adjusted the economic growth rate to 7.5%, which means that it is mainly to change the growth mode, not the large-scale expansion of the economy, which will be a hurdle for the new energy industry. Therefore, when large-scale industries are shut down, many people propose that the solar industry will soon be reshuffled. Liu Hanyuan also said that the company has discussed cooperative mergers and acquisitions, etc. "But the theoretical feasibility is not feasible. The reason is that the production lines built in the past, fixed asset investment, process selection, etc. do not have today's economy. In the past, it cost 1 billion yuan. Today, it may cost only 500 million yuan. You will discount the unreasonable ones and discount 1 billion yuan into 200 million yuan. But others are not willing to easily reach a consensus." Internal and external difficulties, relying heavily on the solar market in foreign markets, hope for the Chinese market. Can be further expanded to overcome current difficulties. Liu Hanyuan, member of the Standing Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, Vice Chairman of the New Energy Chamber of Commerce of the National Federation of Industry and Commerce, and the Standing Committee of the Democratic National Construction Association, once again submitted proposals on the development of the photovoltaic industry at the two sessions, namely, "Proposals for Further Accelerating the Development of the Domestic PV Market" and " Domestic PV installed capacity needs to be further expanded. In the photovoltaic power generation on-grid policy issued by the National Development and Reform Commission last year, there was no specific regulation on the acquisition period. Therefore, Liu Hanyuan suggested that the acquisition policy should be at least 20 years, depending on the energy production characteristics of the PV modules and the service life of the components. It can also be boldly liberalized in a market-oriented manner. According to the installed capacity, the actual situation of the cost and the affordability of the power grid, the on-grid tariff policy will be re-examined every two to three years, and the newly established acquisition standard will only be built later. project. In addition, Liu Hanyuan also proposed that the “Renewable Energy Medium- and Long-Term Development Plan†issued by China in 2007 stipulates the proportion of non-hydroelectric renewable energy in power grids and power generation enterprises in 2010 and 2020, but there have been no implementation rules. Therefore, it is recommended to improve the introduction of renewable energy power quota management measures as soon as possible, and clearly stipulate that the quotas of local power grid enterprises should not be lower than a certain proportion, and impose certain restrictions and penalties on local governments and power grid enterprises that cannot complete quotas. However, Liu Hanyuan emphasized that "if there is a reshuffle, it is to send the next round of cards, the number of enterprises will change, but the total solar energy industry is still in the early stages of development."
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