The newspaper was informed that China will officially implement the investigation of the unemployment rate during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period. It is expected that the future investigation of the unemployment rate will become the main target of state regulation.
"In fact, we suggest that this time can be advanced, for example, by 2010. But the formal implementation will still have to wait for next year," a person familiar with the National Social Security and Statistics Department told reporters.
At present, the state has four major regulatory targets, namely gross domestic product (GDP), prices, employment targets, and balance of payments. The employment target for government work each year has two parts, namely, the number of newly added urban employment and the number of registered urban unemployment. Since many people who are truly unemployed do not necessarily register, and rural peasant employment is not included, the actual annual registered unemployment rate is lower than the surveyed unemployment rate.
This has also become the cause of the criticism of the registered unemployment rate. For example, the urban registered unemployment rate at the end of 2008 was 4.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the end of the previous year. In the same period, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences survey concluded that the urban unemployment rate in China climbed to 9.4% in 2008, exceeding the 7% international warning line.
The National Bureau of Statistics and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security proposed that the unemployment rate be officially announced in the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. In fact, the above two departments have already had figures for the national urban survey unemployment rate for several years.
"There are only 2,000 samples of the Academy of Social Sciences. We have done a few years of unemployment surveys. There are already national figures, but they have not been announced." People in the above-mentioned departments said.
The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†officially implemented the investigation of the unemployment rate of the National Bureau of Statistics and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, which has paved the way for the official implementation of the investigation of the unemployment rate during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period.
From January 14th to 16th this year, the National Employment Work Symposium and Employment Statistics Symposium was held in Nanning, Guangxi. The conference studied the key and difficult issues in the current employment statistics work, and deployed the 2010 employment statistics in accordance with the new reporting system. jobs.
At the meeting, the spirit of investigating the unemployment rate during the 12th Five-Year Plan period was ventilated. “The meeting said, 'If you do, everyone should be mentally prepared,'†said one person attending the meeting.
There is no such thing. Ma Jiantang, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, also pointed out at the National Statistical Work Conference held on January 28 that in 2010, 31 large-scale labor force survey systems will be established to reflect the supply and demand of labor in key cities nationwide on a monthly basis, which is official for the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The implementation of the investigation of the unemployment rate system laid the foundation.
The reporter was informed that the National Bureau of Statistics has been exploring urban unemployment rate since 2005 and is currently conducting statistics every six months. However, the figure has not been officially announced.
The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security is engaged in statistical work on urban registered unemployment rates. Each year, its objectives are incorporated into national government work reports and five-year plans. In the 2009 government work report, it was proposed that in 2009, there were more than 9 million new jobs in urban areas and the urban registered unemployment rate was less than 4.6%.
People in the security department pointed out that in 2011, the first year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, the government work report target may increase the control target of investigating the unemployment rate, which can be announced together with the urban registered unemployment rate target, but “ In the future, we will gradually focus on investigating the unemployment rate target."
Specifically, the survey of unemployment rate will not only cover the full-caliber survey of unemployment rates in urban and rural areas, but also the urban and rural sub-investigations of unemployment rates.
The National Bureau of Statistics is currently preparing to conduct a census in 2010, which covers the content of unemployment. People close to the bureau pointed out that "prepare for the implementation of the quarterly unemployment survey next year."
Unemployment rate into a new economic barometer China officially implemented the investigation of the unemployment rate, which is of great significance for the regulation of future national economic goals.
Zhang Libin, a researcher at the China Academy of Labor Sciences, pointed out that although the current registered unemployment rate in China can reflect the big trend, it does not fully reflect the unemployment situation. "Compared with this, the investigation of unemployment rate is due to the scientific nature of the sample, so it can ensure the truthfulness and accuracy of the data. The implementation of the investigation of the unemployment rate is more in line with the needs of the development of the market economy, and it can also provide a reference for the country's macroeconomic regulation and control."
Taking Sichuan as an example, the economic growth rate of Sichuan Province in 2007 was 14.2%. In 2008, the growth rate dropped to 9.5%. In 2009, the growth rate rebounded to 14.5%. However, the registered unemployment rate in urban areas has not changed much, in 2008 it was 4.6%, only 0.3 percentage points higher than in 2007; in 2009 it was 4.3%, which was only 0.3 percentage points lower than in 2008.
However, the province's published unemployment rate is much more sensitive. For example, at the end of 2009, the province's urban survey unemployment rate fell from 9.5% at the end of 2008 to 7.5% at the end of 2009. The decline was 2 percentage points.
The current urban survey unemployment rate has not been announced. The reporter was informed that the actual urban survey unemployment rate is about 1-2 percentage points higher than the published registered unemployment rate. “It is much lower than what the society expected, but this figure is more reflective of the reality of the economy, so the economic trend. In terms of it, it is a truly effective economic barometer," said a person in the statistics department.
At present, the economy of many countries has begun to recover, but the unemployment rate has not improved. For example, the US unemployment rate rose from 5% in December 2007 at the beginning of the financial crisis to 10.2% in October 2009, and it was called “the recovery without employmentâ€. The unemployment rate in the euro zone countries rose to 10% in November 2009, much higher than the 8.0% in the same period of 2008. In Japan, the unemployment rate reached 5.7% in July 2009, the highest record since the war.
“In the four indicators to measure the economic quality, employment rate and price are more sensitive indicators than GDP. In a market mature country, GDP is not very important because of fluctuations. On the contrary, we often hear 'some The industry boom has fluctuated, etc., and the fluctuations here are reflected in the unemployment rate," Zhang Libin said. (Xiao Minggao reported in Beijing)
"In fact, we suggest that this time can be advanced, for example, by 2010. But the formal implementation will still have to wait for next year," a person familiar with the National Social Security and Statistics Department told reporters.
At present, the state has four major regulatory targets, namely gross domestic product (GDP), prices, employment targets, and balance of payments. The employment target for government work each year has two parts, namely, the number of newly added urban employment and the number of registered urban unemployment. Since many people who are truly unemployed do not necessarily register, and rural peasant employment is not included, the actual annual registered unemployment rate is lower than the surveyed unemployment rate.
This has also become the cause of the criticism of the registered unemployment rate. For example, the urban registered unemployment rate at the end of 2008 was 4.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the end of the previous year. In the same period, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences survey concluded that the urban unemployment rate in China climbed to 9.4% in 2008, exceeding the 7% international warning line.
The National Bureau of Statistics and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security proposed that the unemployment rate be officially announced in the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. In fact, the above two departments have already had figures for the national urban survey unemployment rate for several years.
"There are only 2,000 samples of the Academy of Social Sciences. We have done a few years of unemployment surveys. There are already national figures, but they have not been announced." People in the above-mentioned departments said.
The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†officially implemented the investigation of the unemployment rate of the National Bureau of Statistics and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, which has paved the way for the official implementation of the investigation of the unemployment rate during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period.
From January 14th to 16th this year, the National Employment Work Symposium and Employment Statistics Symposium was held in Nanning, Guangxi. The conference studied the key and difficult issues in the current employment statistics work, and deployed the 2010 employment statistics in accordance with the new reporting system. jobs.
At the meeting, the spirit of investigating the unemployment rate during the 12th Five-Year Plan period was ventilated. “The meeting said, 'If you do, everyone should be mentally prepared,'†said one person attending the meeting.
There is no such thing. Ma Jiantang, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, also pointed out at the National Statistical Work Conference held on January 28 that in 2010, 31 large-scale labor force survey systems will be established to reflect the supply and demand of labor in key cities nationwide on a monthly basis, which is official for the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The implementation of the investigation of the unemployment rate system laid the foundation.
The reporter was informed that the National Bureau of Statistics has been exploring urban unemployment rate since 2005 and is currently conducting statistics every six months. However, the figure has not been officially announced.
The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security is engaged in statistical work on urban registered unemployment rates. Each year, its objectives are incorporated into national government work reports and five-year plans. In the 2009 government work report, it was proposed that in 2009, there were more than 9 million new jobs in urban areas and the urban registered unemployment rate was less than 4.6%.
People in the security department pointed out that in 2011, the first year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, the government work report target may increase the control target of investigating the unemployment rate, which can be announced together with the urban registered unemployment rate target, but “ In the future, we will gradually focus on investigating the unemployment rate target."
Specifically, the survey of unemployment rate will not only cover the full-caliber survey of unemployment rates in urban and rural areas, but also the urban and rural sub-investigations of unemployment rates.
The National Bureau of Statistics is currently preparing to conduct a census in 2010, which covers the content of unemployment. People close to the bureau pointed out that "prepare for the implementation of the quarterly unemployment survey next year."
Unemployment rate into a new economic barometer China officially implemented the investigation of the unemployment rate, which is of great significance for the regulation of future national economic goals.
Zhang Libin, a researcher at the China Academy of Labor Sciences, pointed out that although the current registered unemployment rate in China can reflect the big trend, it does not fully reflect the unemployment situation. "Compared with this, the investigation of unemployment rate is due to the scientific nature of the sample, so it can ensure the truthfulness and accuracy of the data. The implementation of the investigation of the unemployment rate is more in line with the needs of the development of the market economy, and it can also provide a reference for the country's macroeconomic regulation and control."
Taking Sichuan as an example, the economic growth rate of Sichuan Province in 2007 was 14.2%. In 2008, the growth rate dropped to 9.5%. In 2009, the growth rate rebounded to 14.5%. However, the registered unemployment rate in urban areas has not changed much, in 2008 it was 4.6%, only 0.3 percentage points higher than in 2007; in 2009 it was 4.3%, which was only 0.3 percentage points lower than in 2008.
However, the province's published unemployment rate is much more sensitive. For example, at the end of 2009, the province's urban survey unemployment rate fell from 9.5% at the end of 2008 to 7.5% at the end of 2009. The decline was 2 percentage points.
The current urban survey unemployment rate has not been announced. The reporter was informed that the actual urban survey unemployment rate is about 1-2 percentage points higher than the published registered unemployment rate. “It is much lower than what the society expected, but this figure is more reflective of the reality of the economy, so the economic trend. In terms of it, it is a truly effective economic barometer," said a person in the statistics department.
At present, the economy of many countries has begun to recover, but the unemployment rate has not improved. For example, the US unemployment rate rose from 5% in December 2007 at the beginning of the financial crisis to 10.2% in October 2009, and it was called “the recovery without employmentâ€. The unemployment rate in the euro zone countries rose to 10% in November 2009, much higher than the 8.0% in the same period of 2008. In Japan, the unemployment rate reached 5.7% in July 2009, the highest record since the war.
“In the four indicators to measure the economic quality, employment rate and price are more sensitive indicators than GDP. In a market mature country, GDP is not very important because of fluctuations. On the contrary, we often hear 'some The industry boom has fluctuated, etc., and the fluctuations here are reflected in the unemployment rate," Zhang Libin said. (Xiao Minggao reported in Beijing)
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