Cement Weekly: Difficult to change market pressure

The overall cement market in the country stabilized this week, and prices in some regions slightly declined. Affected by sluggish demand, lower external markets, and factory clearance at the end of the year, Anhui Chaohu clinker and cement prices fell by 15-20 yuan/ton, driving Hefei and Lu'an markets to decline. The market in Guiyang and Chengdu was affected by the weak demand and the negative impact of surrounding market price pressures. The quotation was lower by RMB 30/t. The average price of cement in the country continues to decline.

This week's review of the cement market in North China: Beijing and Tianjin are in thin demand, prices remain stable; Hebei's cement prices are in a narrow range, most of the small grinding stations have been discontinued, and some regions have begun to implement winter storage; Shanxi has stabilized overall, currently Only some of the big factories are in normal production, and the rest are stopped for maintenance. The current market in Inner Mongolia is in a state of low operating rate, high inventory, and low sales.

East China: Shandong clinker enterprises are still stopping the kiln, and the market will remain stable. Demand in the lower reaches of Jiangsu and Zhejiang is still acceptable. The market in Nanchang, Jiangxi Province has steadily declined. Manufacturers have stimulated downstream shipments and increased rebates. In mid-Zhouzhou, electricity supply has been limited, and some manufacturers are underemployed, but they have a general impact on the overall market.

Central China: The overall stability of the Henan market, some small factories offer lower, but little impact on the market; downstream demand has slowed down, the manufacturers trading concessions increase. Hunan Changde began to stop the kiln, but the production limit was generally limited and the market reaction was flat; the cement market in the province stabilized. Demand in Hubei has continued to slump, market transactions have been normal, and prices have remained stable.

South China: Affected by the start of rural markets and projects, bagging cement in Nanning, Yulin, Guigang, and other places in Guangxi increased by RMB 10-15/ton. However, due to the dryness of the Xijiang River, the high-standard bulk shipments were slow and inventory pressure was high. Demand in Guangdong was tepid, but there was support from leading companies and the market was generally stable.

Northeast China: The overall cement price in the region is stable. Heilongjiang cement sales in winter is difficult to improve compared with previous years, plus the grinding station more than choose to purchase clinker from the surrounding market, clinker shipments are generally. The price of Jilin was stable, and most of the grinding stations stopped production and maintenance, and the overall inventory was high. Dalian manufacturers in Liaoning Province have announced winter storage prices one after another. The transaction volume has been around 310 yuan/ton.

Northwest: Shaanxi has stabilized this week as a whole, with individual small plants down 10 yuan/ton, and some manufacturers have already stopped production plans. The market in Ningxia and Gansu remained stable, and some manufacturers stopped production. The specific start time was not determined. Qinghai winter storage price stability, shipments have shrunk dramatically. Due to the weather, the downstream demand in Xinjiang has been sluggish. The overall market has been poorly shipped and the inventory has been running high.

Southwest: The market price of Chuanyu is running low, and the profit rate of the manufacturers has been greatly reduced. The manufacturers in the southwest region have a weak response to the listing of CNBM's southwest cement. Mergers and reorganizations will benefit the local cement market; at the same time, some leading companies are also speeding up reorganization. The price of cement in Dali and Lijiang in Yunnan was lowered by 20-30 yuan/ton.

The company's inventory situation from the Zhuo Chuang information monitoring of the leading enterprises in stock situation, the national cement companies to maintain the ratio of 60% to 80% of the medium-high level. The northern region was affected by the severe cold, and the areas entering the winter storage area continued to increase. At the same time, the grinding stations in some areas were suspended. Shipments of manufacturers fell sharply, and overall inventory was at a high level. Some manufacturers in Qinghai were basically in full storage. The southern region is affected by negative funding factors such as tight construction funds, low downstream demand, and high stocks. It is expected that with the approach of the Spring Festival in the later period, the cold weather will intensify, and manufacturers will still have more space for inventory.

Market Forecast:

Near the end of the year, manufacturers around the world are increasingly eager to ship, and the northern markets have successively introduced winter storage prices. The southern market is about to usher in off-season sales, and it is expected that the national market price may fall significantly next week.

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